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Friday, March 19, 2010
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AMD uses Intel's $1.25 billion to repay debt



Last week's landmark settlement between Intel and AMD ended with Intel paying AMD $1.25 billion and signing a royalty-free x86 license. We asked our contacts how come that AMD made such a settlement and those answers was right ahead of us:
  • AMD's x86 cross-license agreement was expiring in 2010, meaning AMD would not be able to continue with CPU production.
  • Intel could not ban AMD from manufacturing CPUs due to x86's monopolistic microprocessor market share, but the company would have to initiate another legal case that would depend on AMD vs. Intel anti-trust lawsuit
  • In the case of the suit, it would probably end in 2012, with Intel paying AMD 3.5-4.0 billion US. AMD would probably have to pay anywhere between 1.5 and 2 billion dollars for manufacturing CPUs in 2011 and 2012 without a valid license from Intel
  • AMD's had almost two billion dollars of debt due in 2012, meaning the timing of the anti-trust lawsuit and the debt payoff would be inconveniently "too close to call".
  • Intel lost all anti-trust legal cases so far, part of which Intel's legal chief decided to "retire" from Intel...only to show up in Apple's HQ less than 48 hours later.
With all that set aside, AMD announced what the company is going to do with 1.25 billion that arrived on their accounts earlier in the week. The cash reserve almost doubled, from 1.5 billion to $2.75 billion. Given that AMD's total debt currently sits at 3.67 billion dollars [2.14 billion net debt], the debt could not be repurchased as whole even if the company cleared its treasury.

AMD's mountain of debt
AMD's mountain of debt

There are two parts of the debt: In 2012, AMD has to pay out 1,875 billion dollars. Out of that, 390 million were high interest [7.75%] notes, while the rest was in 5.75% interest notes. We have to remind you that the debt for the company at one point was higher than five billion dollars, meaning AMD reduced the debt by over 1.5 billion dollars in the past 2-3 years.

AMD's cash situation prior to settlement with Intel
AMD's cash situation prior to settlement with Intel

According to Thomas Seifert, AMD's CFO the company utilized a lot of its cash reserves to purchase their debt as the world economy tanked. In the past nine months, AMD bought $419 million of their debt using only $191 million in cash. This is set to continue by following distribution of afore mentioned $1.25 billion dollar check:
  • New round of senior notes to private investors, gathering 500 million USD, cash reserve up to 3.25 billion
  • Immediate cash buyout and retirement of $390 million of those high-interest notes that were due in 2012, cash reserve down to 2.86 billion
  • Cash and bond buyout of 1 billion of those 5.75% bonds due in 2012, cash down to $1.86 billion
As you can read for yourself, AMD hopes that it will pay out majority of their 2012 debt by the end of the year, leaving three years - 2010, 2011 and 2012 to pay out the remaining 485 million dollars. Given the rate of payment, AMD should turn profit even as it is paying off those remaining 485 million. AMD plans to continue to buy back the mid-yielding 6% bonds due in 2015 as well and clear the newly acquired $500 million debt prior to 2017 and exit the 2017 without any debt at all.

Given that AMD no longer needs to pay Intel royalties on sold processors [even if you purchased an AMD CPU, small portion of money would go to Intel], AMD's margins should significantly grow up and the situation is looking better than ever.

Now, if you wondered how much money does it take to run a Fab, by looking into AMD's financial data we learned that AMD was spending anywhere between 94 and 98 million dollars a quarter, i.e. almost 400 million dollars in a year to keep Fab 36 pushing those wafers out. While Fab 30 was in operation, Fab 30 and Fab 36 were bleeding almost 150 million a quarter. These days are now past for AMD.

AMD's founder, Mr. Jerry Sanders III [also known as Hugh Hefner of semiconductor industry] once said: "Real men have Fabs" - it looks like AMD decided to state they're not real, but "Asset Smart". Truth to be told, AMD should look into the page of one of worlds' most successful fabless companies, nVidia Corporation - and see when "fabless" approach can fail. Just ask a TSMC insider about giving an honest disclosure over 40nm process and everything should be clear.

We wonder what percentage of cash will be invested in R&D, so that AMD finally starts executing their roadmaps on target. You see, we noticed a lot of "Ahead of Schedule" statements by AMD. Unfortunately for AMD's executives, a lot of these "Ahead of Schedule" products are woefully behind the schedule. For instance, Fiorano platform launched on Monday at SC09 - it was supposed to launch in June 2009. AMD Fusion APUs were due in 2009, not in 2011.

All in all, our sources inside AMD are now really confident that they can execute the roadmap, since the Damocles Sword is no longer hanging above their heads.


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Comments:

Re: Execution by: Anonymous on 11/19/2009 by: Anonymous on 12/14/2009
'Stupid' AMD has been fabbing in CSM for years. This whole debacle is sooner about that their license would have ended next year.
by: Anonymous on 12/8/2009
And English is apparently not your strong suit.

vvvvvvvvvvvvvvv
They have the right idea by: Anonymous on 11/23/2009
You may have installed AMD wrongly as you have been using Intel chips for a long time... Your a Big Liar!!!!
uyiuy by: Anonymous on 11/23/2009
thisssssssssssssssssss fuking sucksssssssss
by: Kyocera on 11/21/2009
Apparently not only AMD is getting paid off.

Some rumors are floating around that Nvidia and TSMC made thousands of silicium wafers "as a reserve" for Fermi and that they will have to throw the majority of this on the garbage heap.
The wafers namely decay with time.

The second thought goes to, if they will try to salvage some of this reserve, since the chips are not going to be first choice (as making sandwiches from a week old bread).
And I already mentioned before rumors, that the first shipment is going to be worse than the one that will give the Tesla chips.
Same story or two completely different ones????

And where is ATI in all of this mess?

@ Kyocera by: Greg442 on 11/20/2009
looks like AMD is getting paid off by Intel to me.
by: Kyocera on 11/20/2009
AMD?
A company from the time when the contracts in tech were done on a California beach in bikinis sipping rum (without tea).

Telling how AMD is doing great with GPU business let us wonder if some still smoke grass watching thinking they are still in power flower times.
Those should ask themselves how important would ATI be today if Intel would have done the right thing (not being so egocentric)and bought ATI.

The great AMD is sucking money from ATI,they live from ATI; they avoided bankruptcy because of ATI. ATI's management took over the steering of this ghost ship.
The leftovers from AMD, aggressive enough to have pushed out a great deal of valid people, are for some time now playing a game "how to subject" ATI's brains.

Future?
None.
@Theo by: Anonymous on 11/20/2009
No doubt Atom is a huge success in term of volume. Profitability however is highly questionable (not to even mention cannibalization). Why do you think Intel is outsourcing Atom to TSMC? Intel's motivation for Atom is mainly to keep Via from getting a foothold in the X86 market.

I disagree that AMD had missed out much on Atom so far. They have got enough non-profitable products already and didn't need to take on more.

You can always find a bunch of people at every companies that like to complain about their employers. These people would serve themselves and their employers better by working hard to achieve the common goals instead of do little but complain.

As someone that had worked decades at Compaq/HP I've seen and heard my share of Intel abuses. If Intel wasn't guilty of antitrust, and with the army of lawyers that they have, why did they loose every antitrust cases in the past few years?

A big part of AMD's problems was their own creation (didn't execute), but the other part (hopefully only in the past) was when they did execute and got ahead technologically, Intel pulled out their bag of dirty tricks to deny AMD of their market opportunities.
R&D by: Theo Valich on 11/20/2009
I cannot disclose what I know on AMD on many fronts, but let me tell you that investing ton of money on R&D doesn't lead to great success and Intel's Larrabee and NV100 are great examples of that.

Well, especially LRB given the size of investment. But the bottom line is that no, AMD cannot invest 700M in R&D because their company is more in debt than their market cap was. If AMD does not pay off their debt, its Chapter 11 time. It is as clear as Lake Tahoe. And before anyone starts defending AMD, or claim bias, current financial situation is a consequence of very doubtful decisions by Hector Ruiz and Dirk Meyer.

AMD could had the whole netbook market to themselves, and Dirk Meyer was the person that shot Tomcat/Twincat netbook processors and left Nicholas Negroponte's vision. That is where AMD failed to monetize the great idea that they worked on, but that is the underlying problem with AMD. Spin too many things and then drop them.

Dirk also made the call to delay 65nm introduction because 90nm was selling so good, and when his Barcelona [Dirk was in charge of K10] came up with ton of bugs, it took painfully long to get it right, and ultimately - they failed to do so and released a CPU with a major TLB bug.

That delay caused Bulldozer and Bobcat to slip from 2009 into 2011. So no, AMD didn't had Intel forcing their roadmaps. Internal decisions were made and people left because of it. People that left were the cornerstones why AMD achieved such great sales results. Without these people, AMD is continuing to make mistakes such as the whole Evergreen affair. Beside 5700 series, nothing was executed as they should have executed. Calling a hard launch with less than 20,000 products, re-routing shipments from one OEM to another - yes, that sounds like a botched launch. And naturally, if you screw up at front, you send tremors down the chain. I can tell you a number of partners that skipped on advertising the 5800 series because they cannot get any volume... etc etc etc.

The company was first in a lot of things, but failed to follow through on one thing too many. Now, if anyone thinks I am biased against AMD, I can comment on all the SNAFUs happening in many companies. But if AMD wants to play victim, I can show Intel's financial numbers as far as the Atom goes and tell them here - this was couple of billion dollar sales that AMD skipped on. Won't go into Bullodzer delay affair, that deserves a LRB-style analysis. Will the real slim(e) shady please stand up?

Ed.
The worst is behind AMD by: Anonymous on 11/19/2009
They are in the clear now, and have a plan to execute. CEO said they will now turn a profit. AMD business as a whole has been improving especially on the GPU front. The last two series have been a big hit 4000 series and now the 5000 series are selling like hotcakes, they cannot produce enough. And what they are charging is ridiculous how cheap they are!! Glad to see AMD back on their feet competition is good, we all win.
They have the right idea by: Anonymous on 11/19/2009
R&D Funding will obviously come out of profits and not this settlement. Now that the debt is bought down they will have more profits allowing for a slightly greater R&D budget. The R&D budget should never be predicated upon a court settlement.
Execution by: Anonymous on 11/19/2009
AMD had been shackled by Intel for many years an in many ways, one of which was they had to produce X86 chips only in their own fab. With the settlement, AMD can go completely fabless. They can also fab their X86 chips at any foundries.

Intel had always enjoyed about a 1-year lead over AMD (now Globalfoundries) in silicon process shrunk. That advantage will start to erode when Intel has to compete against the foundries of the world that are better funded and more capable than the old AMD.

I believe AMD finally has to right leadership and the right game plan. All they have to do now is to execute.
Invest on R&D... by: Anonymous on 11/19/2009

I wish they would invest half of the 1.25bB they have got from Intel in R&D and the other half on the debt, if they could of course, so they could oush foward their roadmap, because they are already a generation late regarding their CPUs (desktop and mobile) tech and an generation late regarding the manufacturing process (45nm against intel´s soon 32nm) and if they keep this pace, pretty soon Intel will finish them off for good...
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